Alexander Bublik vs Corentin Moutet Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Paris Masters 2025
Alexander Bublik will look to build on his promising start when he takes on France’s Corentin Moutet in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters. The Kazakh recently finished as a quarterfinalist at the indoor ATP 500 event in Vienna and carried that form into the season’s final Masters 1000 tournament. He started his campaign against Alexei Popyrin, delivering a composed 6-4, 6-3 win to advance into the next stage.
Moutet, meanwhile, arrived in Paris on the back of two strong performances, a runner-up finish in Almaty and a quarterfinal run in Vienna. He carried that confidence into the Paris Masters and faced a stern challenge against big-serving Reilly Opelka. Despite losing the opening set, the Frenchman turned the match around and secured a 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 win and booked his place in the next round.
Alexander Bublik vs Corentin Moutet Details
Date: Oct. 29, 2025
Tournament: Paris Masters 2025
Round: Second (Round of 32)
Venue: Paris La Défense Arena, Paris, France
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Bublik vs Moutet Head-to-Head
Interestingly, the upcoming clash in Paris will mark the first meeting between Bublik and Moutet in more than three years. Their only tour-level encounter came in the second round of the ATP 250 event in Florence in 2022, where Bublik prevailed 7-5, 6-4 to take a 1-0 lead in their head-to-head.
They have also faced off twice on the Challenger circuit, in Mouilleron-le-Captif in 2017 and Phoenix earlier this year, with Bublik winning both matches.
Bublik vs Moutet Prediction
Both players head into this contest with solid form and the intention to dictate play. However, Bublik carries a notable advantage on serve, winning 85% of his service games and 67% of service points this season. Moutet, in comparison, has won 77% of his service games and 62% of service points, giving the Kazakh a statistical edge ahead of their clash.
In Paris, the serving numbers further underline Bublik’s edge. He has already fired 13 aces to Moutet’s five and boasts an 89% success rate on first-serve points, compared to the Frenchman’s 75%. However, Moutet has been more reliable on the second serve, winning 72% of those points against Bublik’s 32% this tournament.
But Bublik holds an edge in high-pressure moments. He has converted 60% of his break-point chances, surpassing Moutet’s 38%. The Kazakh has also been more resilient under pressure, saving three break points in the event, while Moutet has yet to save one in the tournament.
Thus, with superior serving numbers and greater composure in pressure moments, Bublik heads into the contest with a slight edge over the Frenchman.
Pick: Bublik to win in three sets.
